View Full Version : predicting curve progression?

03-11-2005, 07:22 PM
My 15 year old daughter was just diagonosed with a single curve of approximately 32 degrees. As her pelvis is already fused, the orthopedist (a pediatric specialist) insists that there is almost no chance that she will have curve progression later on in life. Still, she told us to return in a year for another xray and to check back sooner if there are any obvious changes or if she grows a lot.

Yet even with this encouraging news, we are worried because even the book the same orthopedist recommended we read on the subject is full of stories of adults who were given a similar diagnosis as teenagers and ended up having surgery anyway.

We are confused and concerned about the future. She is obviously not ready for surgery at this time, and the doctor says it is too late to brace her.
Does anyone know anything about statistics for progression rate given age, development, and degree of curve?
thank you in advance.

03-11-2005, 09:50 PM

While there is little or no statistical chance that your daughter's curve will increase, it may still do so. Here's the research:



03-12-2005, 12:11 PM
Thank you for the link. I'm having a hard time making sense of the article, especially because the charts don't read clearly on my system.